Daniel Evans vs Jay Clarke · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jul 1, 2025 • 1:35 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Daniel Evans
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniel Evans
41% · 9–13 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
58% · 7–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,978 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,978 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jay Clarke
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.8 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniel Evans and Jay Clarke are set to meet at the Wimbledon on July 1, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Evans enters with a 7–5 record on grass courts in 2025, while Clarke has posted a 0–5 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Evans, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Evans leads 2–0 over Clarke, including a win in their most recent meeting.