Dane Sweeny vs Ajeet Rai · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Perth • Hard • Oct 2, 2025 • 4:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Dane Sweeny
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dane Sweeny
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,407 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,407 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ajeet Rai
48% · 20–22 on hard
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~104 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~104 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dane Sweeny and Ajeet Rai are set to meet at the M25 Perth on October 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sweeny enters with a 70–23 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rai has posted a 20–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sweeny entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sweeny leads 2–0 over Rai, including a win in their most recent meeting.