BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 11:05 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Damir Dzumhur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Damir Dzumhur

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,982 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.53% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.387% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.484% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mattia Bellucci

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.341% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-3.027% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%49% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Damir Dzumhur and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Dzumhur enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bellucci has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Dzumhur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Dzumhur leads 2–1 over Bellucci, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Dzumhur and Bellucci alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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