Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Damir Dzumhur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Damir Dzumhur
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,295 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,295 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,398 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,398 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Damir Dzumhur and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Dzumhur enters with a 20–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bellucci has posted a 3–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Dzumhur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Dzumhur leads 2–1 over Bellucci, including a win in their most recent meeting.