Damir Dzumhur vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Damir Dzumhur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Damir Dzumhur
22% · 2–7 on hard
43% · 6–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,367 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,367 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,329 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Damir Dzumhur and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Dzumhur enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Mannarino has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Dzumhur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mannarino leads 2–1 over Dzumhur.