Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Fabian Marozsan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,668 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,668 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Marozsan has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 2–0 over Marozsan, including a win in their most recent meeting.