Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 3:30 AM
Daniil Medvedev
Alejandro Tabilo
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,862 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,862 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tabilo has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Medvedev entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Medvedev and Tabilo at the professional level.