Cristina Bucsa vs Donna Vekic · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 24, 2026 • 9:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Cristina Bucsa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristina Bucsa
50% · 7–7 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,241 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,241 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Donna Vekic
47% · 7–8 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.4 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristina Bucsa and Donna Vekic are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bucsa enters with a 7–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Vekic has posted a 7–8 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bucsa leads 3–1 over Vekic, including a win in their most recent meeting.