Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 28, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,172 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,172 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,667 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,667 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Moutet and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Beijing on September 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Moutet enters with a 22–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zverev has posted a 31–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–0 over Moutet, including a win in their most recent meeting.