Corentin Moutet vs Alex Michelsen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mallorca • Clay • Jun 27, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Corentin Moutet
Key insights
Player performance profile
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,808 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,808 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Michelsen
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,587 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,587 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Corentin Moutet and Alex Michelsen are set to meet at the Mallorca on June 27, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Moutet enters with a 8–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Michelsen has posted a 6–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Moutet leads 3–1 over Michelsen, including a win in their most recent meeting.