Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 4, 2025 • 6:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 79% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,823 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,823 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 30–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muchova has posted a 25–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 5–0 over Muchova, including a win in their most recent meeting.