BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction

Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 19, 2025 • 4:45 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Jasmine Paolini

Key insights

Player performance profile

Coco Gauff

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.772% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.099% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.486% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
69%87% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jasmine Paolini

HARD

53% · 87 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

33% · 12 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,669 points across 77 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.863% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.979% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.462% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%59% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 19, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 18–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Paolini has posted a 13–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Gauff and Paolini alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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