Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • May 1, 2025 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
65%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.5 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 78% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Madrid on May 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 18–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 11–4 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 5 wins.