Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 18, 2026 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,627 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elise Mertens
65% · 11–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Elise Mertens are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 18, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mertens has posted a 11–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 5–0 over Mertens, including a win in their most recent meeting.