Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 16, 2026 • 4:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elina Svitolina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,410 points across 82 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,410 points across 82 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 72% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,094 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the Rome on May 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gauff enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Svitolina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gauff, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Svitolina leads 3–2 over Gauff, including a win in their most recent meeting.