Coco Gauff vs Danielle Collins · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montreal • Hard • Jul 29, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 79% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Danielle Collins
43% · 6–8 on hard
64% · 7–4 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,971 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,971 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Danielle Collins are set to meet at the Montreal on July 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 30–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Collins has posted a 6–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Collins entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 1–0 over Collins, including a win in their most recent meeting.