Coco Gauff vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
65%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.5 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 78% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 30–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bencic has posted a 31–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gauff, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 4–1 over Bencic, including a win in their most recent meeting.