Christasha McNeil vs Varvara Lepchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Nov 4, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Varvara Lepchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Christasha McNeil
63% · 22–13 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
3 matches tracked · limited sample
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Christasha McNeil and Varvara Lepchenko are set to meet at the Austin on November 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. McNeil enters with a 22–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lepchenko has posted a 17–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McNeil entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Lepchenko leads 1–0 over McNeil, including a win in their most recent meeting.