Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Caty McNally
50% · 8–8 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,714 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Caty McNally and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. McNally enters with a 4–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Swiatek has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 3–0 over McNally, including a win in their most recent meeting.