Casper Ruud vs Reilly Opelka · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Laver Cup • Hard • Sep 19, 2025 • 8:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,050 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,050 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Reilly Opelka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -9.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Casper Ruud and Reilly Opelka are set to meet at the ATP Laver Cup on September 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ruud enters with a 23–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Opelka has posted a 21–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 4–0 over Opelka, including a win in their most recent meeting.