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Match analytics

Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Davis Cup - World Group • Unknown • Jan 30, 2025 • 9:40 PM

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Casper Ruud

Key insights

Player performance profile

Casper Ruud

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

60%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.780% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.479% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.980% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mariano Navone

HARD

55% · 65 on hard

CLAY

57% · 86 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.68% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.798% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.713% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
36%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Casper Ruud and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group on January 30, 2025 in a tour-level singles match. Ruud enters with a 39–16 record on tour-level courts in 2025, while Navone has posted a 38–31 mark on tour-level courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 1–0 over Navone, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Ruud and Navone have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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