Casper Ruud vs Marcos Giron · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2025 • 9:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marcos Giron
Key insights
Player performance profile
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Casper Ruud and Marcos Giron are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ruud enters with a 23–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Giron has posted a 15–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 3–2 over Giron, including a win in their most recent meeting.