Casper Ruud vs Francisco Cerundolo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 25, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Francisco Cerundolo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,710 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,710 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo are set to meet at the Miami on March 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ruud enters with a 23–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cerundolo has posted a 16–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ruud, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Cerundolo leads 6–4 over Ruud, including a win in their most recent meeting.