Carol Zhao vs Yexin Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
Newport • Grass • Jul 8, 2025 • 8:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Carol Zhao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Carol Zhao
50% · 11–11 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
67% · 4–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,332 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yexin Ma
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Carol Zhao and Yexin Ma are set to meet at the Newport on July 8, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Zhao enters with a 4–2 record on grass courts in 2025, while Ma has posted a 0–1 mark on grass courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zhao leads 2–0 over Ma, including a win in their most recent meeting.