BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Carlos Taberner vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction

Umag • Clay • Jul 24, 2025 • 4:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Carlos Taberner

Key insights

Player performance profile

Carlos Taberner

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,952 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.59% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+8.797% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jesper De Jong

HARDSmall sample

0% · 02 on hard

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,496 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.951% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.951% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.828% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%59% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Carlos Taberner and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Umag on July 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Taberner enters with a 45–24 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jong has posted a 20–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Taberner entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Taberner leads 3–0 over Jong, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Taberner and Jong alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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