Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Manuel Cerundolo Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rosario • Clay • Feb 7, 2026 • 9:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 2–2 on hard
57% · 12–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,949 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,949 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Manuel Cerundolo Juan are set to meet at the Rosario on February 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Juan has posted a 12–9 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Juan, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 4 wins.