BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction

Umag • Clay • Jul 25, 2025 • 4:40 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Luciano Darderi

Key insights

Player performance profile

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,357 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.44% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.461% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.488% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%81% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Luciano Darderi

HARD

29% · 615 on hard

CLAY

73% · 3011 on clay

GRASS

33% · 24 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,497 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.359% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.265% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.959% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%80% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Umag on July 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 30–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Darderi leads 5–3 over Carabelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Carabelli and Darderi alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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