Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Umag • Clay • Jul 25, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luciano Darderi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Umag on July 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 30–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Darderi leads 5–3 over Carabelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.