Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 19, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jesper De Jong
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,496 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,496 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Bastad on July 19, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 27–14 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jong has posted a 20–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jong, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.