BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfils · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 9:00 AM

Clay

Key insights

Player performance profile

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,357 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.44% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.461% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.488% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%81% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Gael Monfils

HARD

61% · 149 on hard

CLAY

50% · 33 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

25% · 13 on grass

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,214 points across 33 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.563% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.949% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.051% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%34% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Monfils has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Carabelli entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Carabelli and Monfils at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Carabelli and Monfils have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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