Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rosario • Clay • Feb 6, 2026 • 6:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,347 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
33% · 1–2 on hard
71% · 17–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,391 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,391 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Facundo Diaz Acosta are set to meet at the Rosario on February 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Acosta has posted a 17–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Carabelli leads 3–1 over Acosta, including a win in their most recent meeting.