Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rosario • Clay • Feb 6, 2026 • 6:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,465 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,616 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Facundo Diaz Acosta are set to meet at the Rosario on February 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Acosta has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Acosta entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Carabelli leads 3–1 over Acosta, including a win in their most recent meeting.