Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Shevchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
29% · 2–5 on hard
67% · 12–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,817 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Alexander Shevchenko are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Carabelli enters with a 12–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Shevchenko has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Carabelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Shevchenko leads 1–0 over Carabelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.