Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 9:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Naomi Osaka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Camila Osorio
65% · 13–7 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,882 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,882 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naomi Osaka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,797 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,797 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Osorio enters with a 13–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Osaka has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Osaka entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Osaka leads 3–1 over Osorio, including a win in their most recent meeting.