BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 6, 2025 • 2:10 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Camila Osorio

Key insights

Player performance profile

Camila Osorio

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,353 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.522% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
1.691% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.335% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Naomi Osaka

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,904 points across 46 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.899% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.239% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.992% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%82% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Osorio enters with a 12–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Osaka has posted a 24–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Osaka entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Osaka leads 3–1 over Osorio, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Osorio and Osaka alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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