Cameron Norrie vs Mackenzie McDonald · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 12:25 AM
Cameron Norrie
Mackenzie McDonald
Head-to-head
H2H (0)
No previous meetings
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,081 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,081 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Mackenzie McDonald are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Norrie enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McDonald has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McDonald entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Norrie and McDonald at the professional level.