Cameron Norrie vs Agustin Tirante Thiago · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Cameron Norrie
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Agustin Tirante Thiago
54% · 7–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Agustin Tirante Thiago are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Norrie enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Thiago has posted a 8–4 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.