Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bordeaux • Clay • May 16, 2025 • 12:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33% · 5–10 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Bordeaux on May 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Nakashima enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Basilashvili has posted a 9–10 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Basilashvili leads 2–0 over Nakashima, including a win in their most recent meeting.