Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dallas • Hard • Feb 9, 2026 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,482 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Dallas on February 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Nakashima enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Nakashima, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 3–0 over Bellucci, including a win in their most recent meeting.