Brandon Nakashima vs Manuel Cerundolo Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 14, 2026 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 2–2 on hard
57% · 12–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Manuel Cerundolo Juan are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Nakashima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Juan has posted a 12–9 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 3–0 over Juan, including a win in their most recent meeting.