Brandon Nakashima vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 12, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nakashima enters with a 21–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 5–0 over Nakashima, including a win in their most recent meeting.