Match analytics

Bernard Tomic vs Billy Harris · Match odds & ELO prediction

Jinan • Hard • Oct 9, 2025 • 3:05 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Bernard Tomic

Key insights

Player performance profile

Bernard Tomic

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,449 points across 17 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.563% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.516% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.727% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Billy Harris

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,668 points across 39 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.528% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.926% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.66% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
22%5% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Bernard Tomic and Billy Harris are set to meet at the Jinan on October 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 32–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Harris has posted a 35–28 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Harris leads 2–1 over Tomic.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Tomic and Harris alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.