Bernard Tomic vs Alexis Galarneau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Morelos • Hard • Apr 3, 2025 • 7:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Bernard Tomic
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexis Galarneau
61% · 19–12 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Bernard Tomic and Alexis Galarneau are set to meet at the Morelos on April 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 32–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Galarneau has posted a 35–26 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Galarneau entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Galarneau leads 2–1 over Tomic, including a win in their most recent meeting.