Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 25, 2025 • 6:35 PM
Final score
3 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 2–2 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the French Open on May 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 7–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 1–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sonego entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 4–1 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.