Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2025 • 4:45 AM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sonego has posted a 19–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sonego entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 4–1 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.