Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2025 • 5:55 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nakashima has posted a 21–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shelton entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 5–0 over Nakashima, including a win in their most recent meeting.