Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Belinda Bencic
75% · 12–4 on hard
67% · 4–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,668 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,668 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Petra Marcinko
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,860 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,860 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 25% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.0 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Belinda Bencic and Petra Marcinko are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bencic enters with a 4–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Marcinko has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bencic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 1–0 over Marcinko, including a win in their most recent meeting.