Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Oct 24, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,950 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,402 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,402 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Belinda Bencic and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the Tokyo on October 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bencic enters with a 31–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muchova has posted a 25–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bencic, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.