Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Hailey Baptiste
Key insights
Player performance profile
Belinda Bencic
75% · 12–4 on hard
67% · 4–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,668 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,668 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,605 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,605 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Belinda Bencic and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bencic enters with a 4–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Baptiste has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bencic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Baptiste leads 1–0 over Bencic, including a win in their most recent meeting.