Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 1:30 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.0 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 73% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dane Sweeny
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~804 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ben Shelton and Dane Sweeny are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shelton enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Sweeny has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sweeny entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Shelton and Sweeny at the professional level.