August Holmgren vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 7, 2025 • 2:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
67% · 8–4 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,651 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Madrid on April 7, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Virtanen has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Holmgren entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 2–0 over Virtanen, including a win in their most recent meeting.