August Holmgren vs Guy Den Ouden · Match odds & ELO prediction
Francavilla • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Guy Den Ouden
20% · 1–4 on hard
17% · 1–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,062 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,062 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Guy Den Ouden are set to meet at the Francavilla on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 1–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ouden has posted a 1–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Holmgren entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ouden leads 2–1 over Holmgren.